Bishop's Cleeve vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
7º
19º
10º
42
3º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 44 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 41 |
17º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 35 |
18º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 34 |
19º
|
72% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 27 |
20º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bishop's Cleeve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
BIS
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
0 - 0
MAL
56%
19%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TAV
3 - 1
BIS
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
3 - 2
WUN
73%
15%
13%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 5
FRO
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
FRO
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EVE
2 - 0
BAS
26%
22%
53%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
BRI
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
WIL
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRI
3 - 3
BAS
45%
21%
34%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |