Lega Pro Relegation Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 5-5
Bisceglie vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bisceglie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 1
BIS
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BIS
4 - 3
CAV
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
BIS
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 1
RIE
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
BIS
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 1
BIS
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 0
VIT
16%
23%
62%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 1
FRA
14%
23%
63%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 3
PAG
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |