Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
WAL
1 - 0
BIR
38%
23%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1899 |
POR
3 - 0
BIR
26%
23%
51%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1899 |
BIR
3 - 0
LUT
75%
14%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1899 |
BIR
5 - 0
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1899 |
ARS
3 - 0
BIR
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
MID
1 - 1
LIN
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1899 |
MID
1 - 2
SHW
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1899 |
MUD
2 - 1
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1899 |
MID
3 - 0
LOU
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1899 |
BOL
3 - 0
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |