Birkirkara vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BIR
1 - 0
MOS
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BIR
0 - 1
SLI
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BIR
0 - 1
HAM
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SLI
2 - 1
BIR
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 2
BIR
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLI
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
MOS
0 - 4
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 5
MAR
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
NAX
1 - 0
MAR
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |