Birkirkara vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
BIR
4 - 3
MOS
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
BIR
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BIR
3 - 2
PIE
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GZI
1 - 3
BIR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BIR
5 - 0
HIB
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
GZI
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAR
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 5
FLO
28%
27%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
3 - 2
MAR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
PIE
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |