Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MSI
0 - 0
BIR
29%
25%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BIR
2 - 0
PIE
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
BIR
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 1
SLI
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
MQA
1 - 4
BIR
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
4 - 1
HAM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
HAM
1 - 2
MSI
65%
20%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
PIE
0 - 3
HAM
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
HAM
7 - 3
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
SLI
1 - 1
HAM
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |