Birkebeineren vs Vålerenga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkebeineren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
STR
3 - 1
BIR
51%
22%
28%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 1
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NYB
3 - 2
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 2
GJO
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 2
RAU
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Vålerenga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
GRO
4 - 1
VAL
58%
22%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
VAL
55%
21%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
ORN
3 - 2
VAL
55%
21%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
BRU
72%
15%
13%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
STR
1 - 2
VAL
51%
21%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |