Birkebeineren vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
77.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkebeineren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BIR
2 - 2
NES
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
BIR
60%
20%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BIR
2 - 0
KVI
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
RAU
3 - 2
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
S08
1 - 1
HON
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
HON
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 3
HON
6%
12%
82%
|
70 | 31 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HON
0 - 1
HAU
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ELP
4 - 3
HON
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |