Binningen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LAU
1 - 2
BIN
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
BIN
2 - 1
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
NOB
3 - 1
BIN
84%
12%
5%
|
24 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
BIN
1 - 5
FCH
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 1
BIN
21%
24%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FCA
0 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
YOB
3 - 3
FCA
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |