Binningen vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MUT
6 - 0
BIN
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BIN
4 - 2
LIE
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
KRU
2 - 1
BIN
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 3
BIN
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
BIN
4 - 5
KOS
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AAR
10 - 3
DAR
90%
7%
3%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BER
3 - 4
AAR
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AAR
0 - 0
ALL
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BST
2 - 3
AAR
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
BUM
4 - 2
AAR
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |