Ho Chi Minh City vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
6º
3º
23
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
23 | 10 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 9 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 8 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 7 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 7 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ho Chi Minh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 0
BIN
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
HOA
1 - 0
BIN
57%
22%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BIN
2 - 3
NAM
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
VFC
2 - 1
BIN
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
BIN
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HOA
1 - 0
SAN
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
HOA
1 - 2
PHI
54%
22%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
HOA
1 - 0
BIN
57%
22%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BIN
2 - 1
HOA
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
HOA
0 - 0
HCM
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |