Binche vs Warnant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
11º
5º
49
5º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 34 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LAL
1 - 4
BIN
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
BIN
1 - 1
TUB
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VIS
2 - 1
BIN
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIN
8 - 0
HAA
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BIN
4 - 1
FOS
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 12 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 1
HAM
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ACR
3 - 1
WAR
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KSC
1 - 0
WAR
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
5 - 0
TEM
61%
21%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
EEN
1 - 2
WAR
33%
24%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |