Binaced vs Peñalba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binaced
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UDB
0 - 1
BIN
30%
22%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BIN
1 - 1
ODC
48%
23%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BIN
1 - 1
SOM
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
BIN
45%
23%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 2
BIN
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peñalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALB
4 - 1
PEN
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ALB
4 - 2
PEN
50%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 2
LAL
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SEN
0 - 1
PEN
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
ISA
35%
21%
44%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |