Binaced vs Peñalba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binaced
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ESP
4 - 0
BIN
64%
19%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BIN
0 - 0
ALB
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ASJ
1 - 4
BIN
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BIN
3 - 0
ODC
60%
20%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ISA
1 - 0
BIN
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Peñalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 2
SEN
47%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 0
PEN
57%
20%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 3
GRA
22%
21%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ESP
5 - 0
PEN
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 3
ALB
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |