Binaced vs Esplus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binaced
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 1
BIN
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BIN
0 - 4
ASJ
25%
22%
54%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ODC
1 - 4
BIN
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BIN
1 - 3
ISA
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
BIN
51%
22%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Esplus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEN
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
GRA
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
ESP
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
5 - 1
ALB
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ASJ
2 - 2
ESP
62%
19%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |