ND Bilje vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
11º
63
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Bilje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
BIL
1 - 1
BRI
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
BIL
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 1
BIL
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
BIL
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BIL
2 - 2
GOR
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 2
TAS
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 2
TRI
34%
25%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 1
BIS
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NKZ
0 - 5
TRI
9%
14%
77%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NSV
1 - 1
TRI
42%
24%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |