FC Fossombrone vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
CSP
2 - 2
BFM
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ASC
0 - 0
BFM
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BFM
1 - 0
ACC
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BFM
0 - 1
PON
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
BFM
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PON
0 - 0
VIR
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
SDA
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
ASC
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACC
0 - 0
VIR
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
VIR
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |