FC Fossombrone vs PD Castellarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
PIS
1 - 1
BFM
74%
18%
9%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BFM
1 - 0
ACC
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MPO
1 - 2
BFM
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BFM
4 - 2
ROV
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MEZ
1 - 0
BFM
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 0
PDC
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PDC
1 - 1
PON
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SDA
0 - 0
PDC
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 5
ACC
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ASC
4 - 0
PDC
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |