FC Fossombrone vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BFM
2 - 0
SDA
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 2
BFM
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ACC
1 - 0
BFM
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BFM
0 - 0
ASC
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PON
1 - 2
BFM
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 1
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SDA
0 - 1
BOR
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BOR
0 - 0
ACC
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ASC
0 - 1
BOR
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BOR
0 - 4
CAR
17%
23%
61%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | -1 |