Bihor Oradea vs CSM Satu Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+93%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
1º
38
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bihor Oradea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
BIH
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BIH
4 - 0
CFR
80%
14%
5%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SIM
4 - 1
BIH
9%
17%
74%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BIH
2 - 0
MOD
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 3
BIH
10%
18%
72%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
CSM Satu Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 3
CSM
78%
14%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CSM
4 - 0
SMA
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CSM
1 - 0
BIS
37%
22%
42%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CFR
1 - 2
CSM
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CSM
2 - 0
SIM
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |