FA Cup 1/256
Global 4-3
Biggleswade Town vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biggleswade Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
WIN
0 - 0
BIG
40%
25%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BIG
0 - 1
HUN
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
BIG
1 - 1
BUR
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
POO
2 - 1
BIG
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
BIG
4 - 1
BED
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
WIN
0 - 0
BIG
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 0
WIN
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
THA
1 - 2
WIN
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WIN
0 - 0
LOW
23%
23%
53%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
HEN
1 - 1
WIN
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |