Biggleswade vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biggleswade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 3
HIT
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BED
2 - 1
BFC
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 0
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 3
BFC
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
THA
1 - 3
BFC
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
AFD
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AFD
1 - 0
BED
32%
23%
46%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CLA
1 - 3
AFD
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
DID
1 - 0
AFD
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AFD
2 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |