Bigastro vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
47.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
ELD
2 - 0
BIG
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
BIG
0 - 0
DOL
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ALM
0 - 0
BIG
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BIG
2 - 0
HOR
50%
26%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
CIU
1 - 1
BIG
37%
27%
36%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
LOR
1 - 0
AGU
84%
12%
4%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
CDC
0 - 0
LOR
25%
28%
47%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
LOR
4 - 0
YEC
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
CIE
2 - 0
LOR
23%
28%
50%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
LOR
1 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |