Bigastro vs G. Caliche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 3
BIG
10%
16%
74%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BIG
3 - 1
CLU
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 4
BIG
9%
15%
76%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BIG
2 - 0
MUR
81%
12%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 9
BIG
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
G. Caliche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GRU
4 - 2
BEN
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 4
GRU
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 0
FOR
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 6
GRU
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 0
RAC
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |