Bigastro vs Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
BIG
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
0 - 2
UEC
5%
10%
85%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUS
7 - 1
BIG
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
1 - 5
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
COC
0 - 2
BIG
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
UEC
3 - 1
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 3
GUS
23%
20%
57%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 5
FOR
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
6 - 1
COC
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |