Bigastro vs Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DOL
2 - 3
BIG
21%
21%
59%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BIG
11 - 1
CRE
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BIG
1 - 0
DNA
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 6
BIG
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BIG
4 - 1
ALG
68%
17%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 3
FOR
31%
23%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
DNA
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
SPO
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ALG
3 - 1
FOR
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
MON
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |