Bigastro vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ORI
1 - 0
BIG
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
CFB
0 - 7
BIG
19%
26%
55%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BIG
2 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
HOR
1 - 2
BIG
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
BIG
2 - 0
TCF
62%
23%
16%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ELC
0 - 1
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
VIL
0 - 0
ELC
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ELC
2 - 1
HOR
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
TCF
2 - 0
ELC
55%
24%
22%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
ELC
7 - 0
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |