Bigastro vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
BIG
2 - 3
DOL
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
BIG
1 - 3
CFC
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
AGU
1 - 1
BIG
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
BIG
3 - 2
ELD
33%
29%
38%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
OLI
2 - 1
BIG
45%
26%
29%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
ELC
3 - 2
AGU
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ELD
1 - 0
ELC
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
ELC
3 - 0
OLI
54%
24%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
CFB
0 - 1
ELC
45%
26%
29%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
CIU
1 - 1
ELC
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |