Bigastro vs Playas de Orihuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
RED
5 - 5
BIG
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PET
2 - 3
BIG
23%
20%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BIG
3 - 1
ALT
49%
22%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 2
BIG
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
BIG
2 - 1
SPD
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Playas de Orihuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 1
BEN
22%
18%
60%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
RAC
2 - 1
RAC
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 1
SAN
45%
21%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 2
RED
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
RAC
3 - 4
PET
40%
21%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |