Bigastro vs Murada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 9
BIG
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BIG
3 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 3
BIG
15%
20%
66%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BIG
4 - 1
BEN
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RAC
2 - 3
BIG
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 1
MUR
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
7 - 0
BEN
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
DOL
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
MUR
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALM
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |