UD Bienvenida vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+220%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Bienvenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 1
BIE
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BIE
20 - 0
OLV
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
BIE
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ACE
0 - 2
BIE
19%
22%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BIE
3 - 1
EME
38%
23%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 1
ACE
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EME
3 - 3
UDF
80%
13%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
UDF
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 2
CAT
20%
19%
61%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |