Belarus U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
BLR
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CZE
2 - 0
BLR
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
MDA
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
ISR
2 - 1
BLR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
BLR
3 - 0
ITA
26%
27%
48%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 2
LVA
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
ENG
3 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 1
LTU
81%
13%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 1
POR
13%
20%
68%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
LTU
1 - 1
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |