Biel-Bienne vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
BIE
2 - 2
BEL
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
BIE
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BIE
4 - 2
BAV
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BIE
1 - 3
BLA
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
BIE
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCL
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 3
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 2
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 1
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
KRI
2 - 1
FCL
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |