Biel-Bienne vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STA
0 - 0
BIE
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FCV
3 - 3
BIE
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BIE
3 - 0
SCB
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 0
BIE
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SCB
0 - 3
FCA
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
KRI
0 - 2
FCA
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 3
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
FCA
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |