Bideford vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
WIM
0 - 3
BID
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BID
3 - 2
SHO
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
TIV
0 - 1
BID
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BID
2 - 2
YAT
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
BID
2 - 1
MAN
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BED
4 - 0
BEA
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
UXB
2 - 3
BEA
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BEA
1 - 0
BET
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
BEA
4 - 2
AYL
34%
24%
41%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AFH
1 - 2
BEA
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |