Bideford vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HIT
1 - 0
BID
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 2
BID
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
STO
3 - 1
BID
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BID
2 - 1
CAM
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BID
0 - 0
STN
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
CHE
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LEA
4 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
RED
0 - 0
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
ARL
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |