BGUOR vs Metallurg Oskol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
83.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.3%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1417%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
12º
12º
54
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGUOR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ROT
4 - 0
BGU
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
BGU
2 - 0
MET
46%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ATO
2 - 1
BGU
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
BGU
1 - 3
FKS
46%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
YEL
4 - 0
BGU
82%
12%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Metallurg Oskol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MET
10 - 0
AVA
92%
7%
2%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 2
MET
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
MET
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 1
MET
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
FKS
93%
6%
2%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | +1 |