BGUOR vs Atom Novovoronezh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
81.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1417%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
12º
12º
41
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGUOR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 2
BGU
45%
21%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BGU
2 - 3
YEL
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 3
BGU
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DIN
3 - 0
BGU
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
URO
3 - 1
BGU
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atom Novovoronezh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 0
LOK
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
ATO
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
ROT
91%
6%
2%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MET
1 - 4
ATO
5%
11%
84%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 6
ATO
5%
11%
84%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | -1 |