BGA vs Jammerbugt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
HVI
1 - 1
BGA
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BGA
1 - 4
DAL
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
NOR
3 - 3
BGA
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BGA
1 - 0
KOL
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SKI
0 - 1
BGA
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jammerbugt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
JAM
2 - 0
BRA
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
KAL
2 - 2
JAM
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
JAM
2 - 1
B19
43%
24%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
HEL
0 - 3
JAM
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
JAM
3 - 3
HOL
60%
21%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |