BGA vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
B93
3 - 0
BGA
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
BGA
1 - 2
VFF
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
KBK
1 - 0
BGA
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
BGA
2 - 0
OLS
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
BGA
1 - 1
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1997 |
ACH
0 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
FRE
2 - 1
ACH
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
ACH
3 - 1
AAL
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACH
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
ACH
3 - 0
ROS
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |