BGA vs Fredensborg BI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
0 - 5
LYN
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
1 - 1
AVE
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FA2
4 - 1
BGA
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
2 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BGA
2 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Fredensborg BI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 2
FRE
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 1
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 2
FRE
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 4
FRE
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 3
NBB
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |