BGA vs Copenhague II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
SOL
2 - 8
BGA
34%
24%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
BGA
1 - 2
B93
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2005 |
BGA
1 - 4
BRO
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
HVI
2 - 2
BGA
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SLA
2 - 2
BGA
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Copenhague II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
NAE
2 - 0
FCK
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
B93
1 - 6
FCK
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
FCK
6 - 0
AVA
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SOL
2 - 0
FCK
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
HVI
0 - 1
FCK
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |