BGA vs Avedøre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FA2
4 - 1
BGA
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
2 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BGA
2 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
KAS
0 - 2
BGA
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
VAN
1 - 1
BGA
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Avedøre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
3 - 1
FCO
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
4 - 2
AVE
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
HOL
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
NAS
0 - 1
AVE
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
FA2
1 - 2
AVE
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |