BGA vs Aalborg Chang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 3
BGA
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
BGA
1 - 3
ROS
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
ESB
5 - 1
BGA
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
BGA
2 - 2
NAE
21%
23%
57%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
HVI
1 - 2
BGA
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Aalborg Chang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
AAL
1 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
FRE
3 - 1
AAL
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
AAL
4 - 1
OLS
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
AAL
2 - 1
BOL
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
ROS
2 - 1
AAL
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |