BFC Daugavpils vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 7
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
3 - 2
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 2
FKT
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FSM
2 - 2
BFC
34%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
VLZ
0 - 2
PET
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
OLI
4 - 0
VLZ
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
VLZ
1 - 0
UTA
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
FCK
5 - 3
VLZ
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
VLZ
0 - 4
EGN
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -2 |