BFC Daugavpils vs Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.9%
66.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
19.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FSM
0 - 2
BFC
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BFC
1 - 0
RIG
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FKS
3 - 0
BFC
63%
23%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FSM
2 - 1
BFC
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
BFC
1 - 0
FSM
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 0
LIE
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 1
FKS
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 2
LIE
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -5 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 0
VEN
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +4 |