BFC Daugavpils vs Varaviksne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCJ
0 - 2
BFC
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 3
FKD
44%
23%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
FKD
1 - 0
BFC
52%
23%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 4
BFC
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BFC
3 - 0
VEN
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Varaviksne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 3
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 2
ILU
66%
19%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 2
JFK
28%
23%
50%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FLR
0 - 1
VAR
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |