BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
55
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 2
AUD
26%
26%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
RIG
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
FSM
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
FKJ
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 4
VAL
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
AUD
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |