BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
55
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
AUD
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
FSM
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 1
FKT
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FKJ
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUD
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |