BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2010 |
FKJ
0 - 1
BFC
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BFC
7 - 1
KUL
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
RIG
2 - 0
BFC
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
BFC
0 - 2
GUL
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKT
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
LME
20%
23%
58%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
FCJ
3 - 0
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 3
FSM
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FKS
6 - 1
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 0
AUD
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |